Southeast Florida Weather Outlook (4-30-14)

Beach_Image100

 

Overview

 

Chance of showers continues for the rest of the week mostly in the interior portions.

It will continue to be warm with above normal temperatures. With dewpoint temperatures in the more uncomfortable range of around 70 to the low 70’s, heat indices may reach the middle 90’s.

As a cool front approaches and moves through for the weekend, there will be an increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms.

Early next week, drier air filters in resulting in dry conditions under mostly sunny skies.

 

Analysis

 

For southeast Florida weather, during the overnight hours, it was generally clear to partly cloudy. A Coastal Flood Statement was issued for Miami-Dade for the possibility of minor coastal flooding (especially around the time of high tide) on the bay side of Miami Beach due to astronomical tides caused by the lunar cycle.

Animated Radar Overlaid with Satellite  (Early Morning)

Animated Radar Overlaid with Satellite (Early Morning)

 

Overnight lows were mostly in the middle and upper 70’s with some upper 60’s to low 70’s further inland. Winds were generally light out of the east and southeast.

During the day, it was mostly sunny to partly sunny. Later in the day, upper level clouds from thunderstorm cloud tops overspread east and southeast into portions of the region. Showers and thunderstorms developed mainly in the interior portions of south Florida during the afternoon.

Animated Radar Overlaid with Satellite  (Afternoon)

Animated Radar Overlaid with Satellite (Afternoon)

 

Daytime highs were in the upper 80’s to around 90 with some of the coastal areas in the low to middle 80’s. Some areas reached the low 90’s. Winds were southeasterly around 15 mph with higher gusts especially near the coast.

Below is the U.S. surface analysis for late this afternoon.

U.S. Surface Analysis (Late Afternoon)

U.S. Surface Analysis
(Late Afternoon)

 

Dewpoint temperatures were around 70 to the low 70’s. Higher dewpoint temperatures of middle 70’s were over the Atlantic and Gulf of Mexico.

Surface Dewpoint Temperatures (Afternoon)

Surface Dewpoint Temperatures (Afternoon)

 

 

Forecast

 

Short Range Forecast:

For tonight, it will be partly cloudy. There may be an isolated shower coming ashore. Lows will be in the middle and upper 70’s. Some areas well inland (especially in Palm Beach and Broward Counties) may see lows around 70 to the low 70’s. There could be some smoke especially in the inland portions of Palm Beach County.  Some of that smoke may be mixed in with fog.

Click here for the latest Southeast Florida winds/coastal waters forecast.

 

At the middle and upper levels, toward the end of the week, the large persistent Low continues to crawl near the Great Lakes region with a trough extending south/southwest toward the southwest U.S. Ridges persist on either side. One ridge extends from a High near Cuba northeast into the western Atlantic, just off the east coast of the U.S. Another ridge/High is in the western U.S. extending northward into Canada. Florida remains in a southwest flow aloft. Early in the weekend, the blocking pattern breaks down and the large Low finally moves into Canada where it merges with a Low dropping down from western Canada. A trough extends southward toward the central/eastern U.S. as it migrates east. A trough pinches off near the base of the trough and may briefly close off as it moves east along the southern tier of the U.S. Another Low approaches the Northwest U.S. The High near Cuba persists with another High (588 DM plus) builds in from the Atlantic. The southwest flow aloft continues over Florida.

500 mb (Mid-Level) Flow 5-1-14

500 mb (Mid-Level) Flow 5-1-14

500 mb (Mid-Level) Flow 5-3-14

500 mb (Mid-Level) Flow 5-3-14

A cool front moves slowly across the Florida panhandle overnight and becomes nearly stationary across north Florida late Thursday.

WPC Forecast 5-1-14 (8:00 pm)

WPC Forecast 5-1-14 (8:00 pm)

 

The front remains quasi-stationary across north/central Florida through Friday into early Saturday as ripples of weak surface waves/Lows move northeast along the front.

WPC Forecast 5-2-14 (8:00 pm)

WPC Forecast 5-2-14 (8:00 pm)

 

Although low level moisture remains over the region, the axis of highest moisture and best surface convergence will be closest to the front and that is where the most numerous activity will be located. With daytime heating and sea breeze interaction, showers and thunderstorms will develop mostly in the interior areas where there is the greatest instability.

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-30-14(12z) at 033 Hours

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-30-14(12z) at 033 Hours

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-30-14(12z) at 057 Hours

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-30-14(12z) at 057 Hours

On Saturday, as the front nears, deeper moisture works into the region as low level winds become more south and southwest and the pooling of moisture along the front. PWAT (Precipitable Water) is forecast to increases to well above normal of around 1.7 to 1.9” range during the day. This will lead to better coverage of showers and thunderstorms for Saturday.

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-30-14(12z) at 081 Hours

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-30-14(12z) at 081 Hours

 

With these high PWAT values, there could be some locally heavy rains especially if “training” occurs and or slower moving activity.

 

For Thursday, it will be sunny to partly sunny. High level clouds may move in from time to time. There will be widely scattered to locally scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be in the upper 80’s to the low 90’s. Some of the coastal areas may be in the middle 80’s. Lows Thursday night will be in the low to middle 70’s. Some areas well inland (especially in Palm Beach and Broward Counties) may see lows around 70. Some areas near the immediate coastal areas of Miami-Dade and Broward Counties may see lows in the upper 70’s.

Click here for the latest Southeast Florida winds/coastal waters forecast.

For Friday, it will be partly sunny. High level clouds may move in from time to time. There will be widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be in the middle to upper 80’s. Some areas may be near 90. Lows Friday night will be in the low to middle 70’s. Some areas well inland (especially in Palm Beach and Broward Counties) may see lows around 70.

Click here for the latest Southeast Florida winds/coastal waters forecast.

For Saturday, it will be partly cloudy. There will be scattered to good chance of showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be in the middle and upper 80’s. Lows Saturday night will be in the upper 60’s to the low 70’s. Some areas well inland (especially in Palm Beach and Broward Counties) may see lows in the low to middle 60’s. Some areas near the immediate coastal areas of Miami-Dade and Broward Counties may see lows in the middle 70’s.

Click here for the latest Southeast Florida winds/coastal waters forecast.

 

Medium Range Outlook:

In the middle and upper levels, going into the beginning of next week, the pattern is higher amplitude compared to previous day’s model runs. The “pinched” off trough continues moving east across the southeast U.S. and into the western Atlantic as well as the trough to the north which is anchored by a Low in the northeast U.S. A ridge builds into the central U.S. followed by another trough in the western U.S. The 588 DM plus High in the Atlantic re-locates near southern Mexico. The flow aloft transitions from southwest to more zonal (west to east) with slight anti-cyclonic flow during this period across Florida.

500 mb (Mid-Level) Flow 5-5-14

500 mb (Mid-Level) Flow 5-5-14

 

By Sunday, as the upper level pattern is more amplified and the last surface Low moves east of Florida, the front will get the extra kick to finally move off the southeast Florida coast.

WPC Forecast 5-4-14 (8:00 am)

WPC Forecast 5-4-14 (8:00 am)

 

The ECMWF model is quicker than the GFS with the front exiting the region and brings drier air sooner. Will go with the more pessimistic GFS solution which delays the drier air overspreading the region and keep the moisture around longer. This will lead to chance of showers and possible thunderstorms into Sunday mainly for the southern areas.

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-30-14(12z) at 105 Hours

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-30-14(12z) at 105 Hours

 

By the beginning of next week, the front will be further south to across Cuba.

WPC Forecast 5-5-14 (8:00 am)

WPC Forecast 5-5-14 (8:00 am)

 

This will allow for drier air to filter in with decreasing shower activity as a weak surface High overspreads the region. This will lead to decreasing showers.

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-30-14(12z) at 120 Hours

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-30-14(12z) at 120 Hours

 

Nighttime temperatures especially for the interior will not be as warm as dewpoint temperatures lower into the more comfortable 60’s.

 

Extended Range Outlook:

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Southeast Florida Weather Outlook (4-29-14)

Beach_Image100

 

Overview

 

With low level southeast winds continuing, there will be enough moisture for widely scattered to locally scattered showers and a few thunderstorms to develop for the remainder of the week. Most of the activity will be in the interior and northern portions.

It will continue to be warm with above normal temperatures. With higher moisture, dewpoint temperatures will range around 70 to the middle 70’s. With higher dewpoint temperatures, heat indices may reach the middle 90’s.

As a slow moving weakening cold front approaches during the weekend and with higher moisture, there will be an increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms.

 

Analysis

 

For southeast Florida weather, during the overnight hours, it was mostly clear to partly cloudy. There were a few showers offshore the southeast Florida coast extending toward Andros Island in the western Bahamas.

Animated Radar with Satellite Overlaid (Afternoon)

Animated Radar with Satellite Overlaid (Morning)

 

Overnight lows were generally in the middle and upper 70’s along the metro and coastal areas to upper 60’s to low 70’s further inland. Winds were mostly southeasterly at light speeds to occasionally moderate near the coastal areas.

During the day, it was sunny to partly sunny outside of shower areas. There was some increase of moisture with PWAT (Precipitable Water) at this morning’s soundings at Miami rising to 1 ¼”. Dewpoint temperatures responded with temperatures generally around 70 to the middle 70’s. A few showers developed and moved across portions of Miami-Dade and Broward Counties late in the morning. By early afternoon, the activity shifted northward and increased with a few thunderstorms developing. Some of the activity became strong prompting the issuance of a Special Marine Warning for Lake Okeechobee. Other showers and thunderstorms developed to the west and southwest of the Lake and portions of central Florida in the middle and late afternoon.

Animated Radar with Satellite Overlaid (Afternoon)

Animated Radar with Satellite Overlaid (Afternoon)

 

Afternoon highs were mainly in the upper 80’s to around 90 with a few areas reaching the low 90’s. Winds were mostly southeasterly at around 15 mph and gusty with some areas near the coastal areas gusting to around 25 mph during the afternoon.

Below is the U.S. surface analysis for late this afternoon.

U.S. Surface Analysis (Late Afternoon)

U.S. Surface Analysis
(Late Afternoon)

 

Dewpoint temperatures were around 70 to the middle 70’s earlier in the day, but lowered into the middle 60’s and upper 60’s in some of the interior areas as some drier air mixed down to the lower levels. With the higher dewpoint temperatures, some areas had heat indices in the middle 90’s.

Surface Dewpoint Temperatures (Afternoon)

Surface Dewpoint Temperatures (Afternoon)

 

 

Forecast

 

Short Range Forecast:

For tonight, it will be partly cloudy. There may be some isolated showers mainly at the metro/coastal areas. Lows will be in the middle and upper 70’s. Some areas well inland (especially in Palm Beach and Broward Counties) may see lows in the upper 60’s to the low 70’s.

Click here for the latest Southeast Florida winds/coastal waters forecast.

 

At the middle and upper levels, system movement continues to be bogged down as an omega (shape of an omega – Ω) block remains. The large Low responsible for the severe weather for portions of the southeastern U.S. has moves little and for the mid-week, will be located in the Mid-West region. On either side of the Low, there is a ridge along the U.S. eastern seaboard/western Atlantic and a ridge in the western U.S. Toward the end of the week, the Low finally moves into Canada as the “blocking” pattern begins to unravel. A trough extends south/southwest into the east-central U.S. toward Texas. A High extends from the western Caribbean northeast into the western Atlantic. The flow aloft over the eastern U.S. and Florida is mostly southwesterly.

500 mb (Mid-Level) Flow 4-30-14

500 mb (Mid-Level) Flow 4-30-14

500 mb (Mid-Level) Flow 5-2-14

500 mb (Mid-Level) Flow 5-2-14

A cold front enters the Florida panhandle on Wednesday and makes very slow southward progression.

WPC Forecast 4-30-14 (2:00 pm)

WPC Forecast 4-30-14 (2:00 pm)

 

With a surface ridge over the Atlantic, southeasterly winds will prevail for the next couple of days, keeping some low level moisture in place. This will allow for isolated to scattered showers and a few thunderstorms to develop. With daytime heating and sea breeze convergence, plus southeasterly wind flow regime, most of the activity will be focused in the interior and most numerous in the northern section.

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-29-14(12z) at 033 Hours

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-29-14(12z) at 033 Hours

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-29-14(12z) at 057 Hours

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-29-14(12z) at 057 Hours

By Friday, the weakening front will only have reached north/central Florida.

WPC Forecast 5-2-14 (8:00 am)

WPC Forecast 5-2-14 (8:00 am)

 

As the front approaches, the surface High is shunted eastward with low level winds becoming more southerly. This will draw deeper moisture northward with PWAT increasing to above normal of around 1 ⅓”. Although moisture increases somewhat, the higher moisture axis will be further north. With a more southerly flow, the shower activity will be most numerous in the northern sections.

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-29-14(12z) at 081 Hours

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-29-14(12z) at 081 Hours

 

 

For Wednesday, it will be partly sunny with high cloudiness from time to time. There will be isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be in the middle 80’s to around 90. Some areas may reach the low 90’s. Lows Wednesday night will be in the middle and upper 70’s. Some areas well inland (especially in Palm Beach and Broward Counties) may see lows in the upper 60’s to the low 70’s.

Click here for the latest Southeast Florida winds/coastal waters forecast.

For Thursday, it will be partly sunny with high cloudiness from time to time. There will be widely scattered to scattered showers and widely scattered thunderstorms. Highs will be in the middle and upper 80’s. Some areas may be around 90. Lows Thursday night will be around 70 to the middle 70’s. Some areas well inland (especially in Palm Beach and Broward Counties) may see lows around the middle 60’s to upper 60’s. Some areas near the immediate coastal areas of Miami-Dade and Broward Counties may see lows in the upper 70’s.

Click here for the latest Southeast Florida winds/coastal waters forecast.

For Friday, it will be partly sunny with high cloudiness from time to time. There will be widely scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be in the middle and upper 80’s. Some areas near the coast may be in the low 80’s with some areas in the interior near 90. Lows Friday night will be in the upper 60’s to the middle 70’s. Some areas well inland (especially in Palm Beach and Broward Counties) may see lows around the middle 60’s.

Click here for the latest Southeast Florida winds/coastal waters forecast.

 

Medium Range Outlook:

In the middle and upper levels, by the end of the weekend the “blocky” pattern breaks down. The trough migrates into the eastern U.S. where it “bumps” up against a building High (588 DM plus) from the east/southeast which results in the flattening of the base of the trough. The flow aloft becomes nearly zonal (west to east) across the southern tier of states while a west/southwest flow continues over Florida.

500 mb (Mid-Level) Flow 5-4-14

500 mb (Mid-Level) Flow 5-4-14

 

With the upper level High building in and the flattening of the base of the trough, the cold front loses support making only slow progression southward while weakening further. The front becomes nearly stationary across central Florida on Saturday.

WPC Forecast 5-3-14 (8:00 am)

WPC Forecast 5-3-14 (8:00 am)

 

With the front a little closer and low level winds veering more to the southwest, moisture deepens further. PWAT rises to well above normal. The GFS model forecasts values in the 1.7 to 1.9” range during the day on Saturday. This will lead to better chances of showers and thunderstorms.

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-29-14(12z) at 105 Hours

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-29-14(12z) at 105 Hours

 

With the high PWAT values, there may potentially be locally heavy rains especially if training takes place.

By the end of the weekend, the front limps south of the region while dissipating.

WPC Forecast 5-4-14 (8:00 am)

WPC Forecast 5-4-14 (8:00 am)

 

PWAT remains high, but diminishes later on Sunday. PWAT early in the day ranges 1 ½” to 1 ¾” which is still well above normal.   The chance of showers and possible thunderstorm continues into Sunday.

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-29-14(12z) at 129 Hours

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-29-14(12z) at 129 Hours

 

Again, there is the potential for locally heavy rains.

 

Extended Range Outlook:

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Southeast Florida Weather Outlook (4-28-14)

Beach_Image100

 

Overview

 

With little more moisture around as low level southeast winds prevail, the chance of showers and possible thunderstorms continue into mid-week. Most of the activity will be well inland and toward southwest Florida.

It will be warm with above normal temperatures continuing. With higher moisture, dewpoint temperatures will be on the increase making it feel more uncomfortable as heat indices may reach the middle 90’s.

Toward the end of the week and into the weekend, as a cold front slowly approaches, there will be an increasing chance of showers and thunderstorms.

 

Analysis

 

For southeast Florida weather, during the overnight hours, it was partly cloudy to cloudy. Light to at times moderate (especially near the coast) east and southeast breezes kept temperatures rather warm especially near the coast. Overnight lows were in the middle and upper 70’s along the metro and coastal areas to upper 60’s to low 70’s further inland with some middle 60’s well inland in Palm Beach and Broward Counties.

During the day, it was partly sunny to partly cloudy early as some high clouds (associated with a mid/upper level trough) moved west to east across the region.  Below is the Animated Water Vapor imagery depicting the trough moving across Florida.  The milky area indicates higher moisture at the upper levels while the brown areas indicate drier air.

Water Vapor Animation

Water Vapor Animation

 

It became mostly sunny to partly sunny during the day. During the mid/late afternoon, a few showers moving across the upper Florida Keys moved into south Miami-Dade County where it weakened. By late afternoon, other showers and isolated thunderstorms developed in western portion of south Florida. A few other showers also developed over Andros Island in the western Bahamas and the Florida Straits.

Animated Radar with Satellite Overlaid (Afternoon)

Animated Radar with Satellite Overlaid (Afternoon)

 

High temperatures were mostly in the middle and upper 80’s with a few areas reaching around 90. Winds were mostly out of the southeast at moderate speeds with gusts to over 20 mph at times near the coastal/metro areas during the afternoon.

Dewpoint temperatures were mostly in the middle and upper 60’s over the interior to around 70 near the coastal area. Over the water area, the dewpoint temperatures were in the low to middle 70’s.

Surface Dewpoint Temperatures (Afternoon)

Surface Dewpoint Temperatures (Afternoon)

 

Below is the U.S. surface analysis for late this afternoon.

U.S. Surface Analysis (Late Afternoon)

U.S. Surface Analysis
(Late Afternoon)

 

A fire burning in northwest Broward County is causing smoke to billow unidirectional to the northwest. Later tonight, as winds diminish and possibly become more variable, there may be more dispersal of the smoke. Additionally, as the land cools, an inversion may develop which may keep the smoke trapped at lower levels.

Radar Animation - Fire in Broward County (Afternoon)

Radar Animation – Fire in Broward County (Afternoon)

 

 

Forecast

 

Short Range Forecast:

For tonight, it will be clear to partly cloudy. Lows will be in the low 70’s to upper 70’s. Some areas well inland (especially in Palm Beach and Broward Counties) may see lows in the middle and upper 60’s. There may be some smoke possibly mixed with fog mainly well inland in Broward and Palm Beach County.

Click here for the latest Southeast Florida winds/coastal waters forecast.

 

At the middle and upper levels, by Tuesday, a weak trough moves east of Florida with a ridge near the eastern U.S. Seaboard/western Atlantic as a large closed Low moves through the Mid-West followed by another ridge in the western U.S.  The large Low is responsible for the severe weather that is occurring over portions of the central U.S. and points eastward.  Toward the end of the week, the large Low briefly weakens as it moves into the Great Lakes region, but then amplifies and digs south/southwest. A High builds just near Florida with a ridge extending northeastward into the western Atlantic. The High continues in the western U.S. The flow aloft is generally southwest over the eastern U.S. and Florida.

500 mb (Mid-Level) Flow 4-28-14

500 mb (Mid-Level) Flow 4-28-14

500 mb (Mid-Level) Flow 5-1-14

500 mb (Mid-Level) Flow 5-1-14

Moisture from remnants of an old frontal system to the south extending from a surface Low in the northwest Atlantic is drawn northward into the region from persistent southeasterly winds. This along with daytime heating and sea breeze convergence will lead to a better chance of showers and possible thunderstorms. With this wind flow regime, the activity will be most focused in the interior.

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-28-14(12z) at 033 Hours

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-28-14(12z) at 033 Hours

 

On Wednesday, the moisture shifts northward, which may result in the activity to be further northward.

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-28-14(12z) at 057 Hours

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-28-14(12z) at 057 Hours

 

On Thursday, a cold front moves into the Florida panhandle and it moves very slowly southward.

WPC Forecast 5-1-14 (8:00 am)

WPC Forecast 5-1-14 (8:00 am)

 

As moisture pools in advance and along the front, PWAT (Precipitable Water) increases to above normal values of around 1 ¼” to 1 ⅓”. This will lead to better chance of showers and thunderstorms. Again, most of the activity will be in the interior areas.

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-28-14(12z) at 081 Hours

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-28-14(12z) at 081 Hours

 

 

For Tuesday, it will be partly sunny. There may be isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly well inland. Highs will be in the middle 80’s to around 90. Some areas may reach the low 90’s. Lows Tuesday night will be in the upper 60’s to the low 70’s. Some areas well inland (especially in Palm Beach and Broward Counties) may see lows in the low 60’s to the middle 60’s. Some areas near the immediate coastal areas of Miami-Dade and Broward Counties may see lows in the middle 70’s.

Click here for the latest Southeast Florida winds/coastal waters forecast.

For Wednesday, it will be partly sunny. There may be some high clouds at times. There may be isolated to widely scattered showers and thunderstorms mainly well inland. Highs will be in the middle 80’s to around 90. Some areas may reach the low 90’s. Lows Wednesday night will be in the low 70’s to upper 70’s. Some areas well inland (especially in Palm Beach and Broward Counties) may see lows in the upper 60’s.

Click here for the latest Southeast Florida winds/coastal waters forecast.

For Thursday, it will be partly sunny to partly cloudy. There may be widely scattered to scattered showers and thunderstorms. Highs will be in the middle and upper 80’s. Some areas near the coast may be in the low 80’s while areas in the interior may be around 90 to the low 90’s. Lows Thursday night will be in the low to middle 70’s. Some areas well inland (especially in Palm Beach and Broward Counties) may see lows in the middle and upper 60’s. Some areas near the immediate coastal areas of Miami-Dade and Broward Counties may see lows in the upper 70’s.

Click here for the latest Southeast Florida winds/coastal waters forecast.

 

Medium Range Outlook:

In the middle and upper levels, early next weekend, the large Low moves into Canada, southwest of Hudson Bay. A negatively tilted trough extends southeast toward the southeast U.S. With the trough moving into the eastern U.S., the ridge in the western Atlantic is shunted further eastward. The ridge in the western U.S. is less amplified as a Low approaches the Northwest U.S. The flow aloft over Florida continues to be mostly southwesterly.

500 mb (Mid-Level) Flow 5-3-14

500 mb (Mid-Level) Flow 5-3-14

 

With better upper level support, by the end of the week and the beginning of next weekend, the cold front with multiple areas of weak surface waves/Lows moving northeast along it reaches central Florida.

WPC Forecast 5-3-14 (8:00 am)

WPC Forecast 5-3-14 (8:00 am)

 

As the front nears the region, there is additional increase of moisture levels. By Friday, the GFS model has PWAT increasing to 1 ½”. PWAT increases further on Saturday to well above normal of around 1 ¾” or slightly higher. This may lead to better coverage of showers and thunderstorms especially for Saturday.

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-28-14(12z) at 105 Hours

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-28-14(12z) at 105 Hours

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-28-14(12z) at 129 Hours

GFS Wind & Precip Forecast Model 4-28-14(12z) at 129 Hours

With well above normal PWAT values, there may be some locally heavy rainfall.

 

Extended Range Outlook:

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