For southeast Florida weather, during the overnight hours, it was a rather mild to cool night depending on how far inland you were. There was again large variation in temperatures. Well inland areas had lows around 50 to areas near the coast in the upper 60’s. It was clear (inland areas) to partly cloudy (coastal areas) Winds were light east and southeast.
During the day, it was a mostly partly sunny to partly cloudy day. Highs were mostly in the upper 70’s to low 80’s. It was somewhat breezy at times with southeasterly winds of 10 – 20 mph with higher gusts.
There was a large wildfire located in central Collier County. The smoke generated by the fire was visible on radar.
Moisture has been on an increase during the day and will continue to do so through Monday.
Tonight will be partly cloudy with a chance of showers late. Lows will be 60’s in the interior portions to around 70 to low 70’s near the coast.
Winds will be southeasterly at 10 – 20 mph. Seas will be 2 – 4 feet occasionally up to 5 feet. Intracoastal waters and Biscayne Bay will have a light to moderate chop.
On Monday, it will be mostly partly cloudy with a chance of showers/thundershowers.
Highs will be in the upper 70’s to middle 80’s. Lows Monday night will be in the 60’s. The chance of showers will diminish during the night as the main moisture area moves offshore into the Atlantic.
A front will sag southward and become increasingly diffuse.
A surface High pressure to the north of the front will “bridge” the front and the winds will become northerly. The front will return northward as a warm front on Wednesday as a surface Low pressure system organizes over the western Gulf of Mexico. This will be our next system to affect the weather.
Winds during the day will be southerly to south southwest at 10 – 15 mph. Seas will be 2 – 4 feet occasionally up to 5 feet. Monday night, winds will become southwest and west southwest and then northwest at 5 – 15 mph. Seas will be 2 feet occasionally 3 feet. Intracoastal waters and Biscayne Bay will have a light chop.
For Tuesday, it will be mostly partly sunny. There will be a small chance of showers late in the day mostly in the northern portion closer to where the front is at. Highs will be mostly upper 70’s to middle 80’s. Lows Tuesday night will be in the 60’s to around 70 near the Coastal areas.
Winds will be northerly to north northeast at 5 – 15 mph becoming east northeast Tuesday night. Seas will be 2 – 3 feet. Intracoastal waters and Biscayne Bay will have a light to moderate chop.
On Wednesday, it will be partly sunny to partly cloudy. Clouds may increase in the northern portion of the area along with a chance of showers. Highs will be mostly in the low to middle 80’s. Lows Wednesday night will be middle 60’s to low 70’s.
Winds will be east southeast at 5 – 15 mph increasing to 10 – 20 mph Wednesday night. Seas will be 2 – 3 feet building up to 4 feet and occasionally up to 5 feet mainly in the southern portions. Intracoastal waters and Biscayne Bay will have a light chop becoming moderate chop Wednesday night.
As mentioned, the next weather maker for southeast Florida region will be a surface Low pressure that will develop over the Gulf of Mexico. The GFS forecast model for the past couple of days has trended the Low to track further north across north Florida/Florida Panhandle.
This has delayed the onset of the shower activity to about Friday and also the duration of it. With this setup, would not be surprised if some sort of line of showers/thundershowers develops.
As the Low pressure develops and moves toward Florida, winds over the area will be increasing toward the end of the week. Once the surface Low pressure moves into the southeast U.S., it will drag a cold front behind it. The front will approach the area on Saturday.
It will turn a little cooler with the frontal passage.